For Immediate Release
November
01,
2004
Contact:
corprel@freddiemac.com
or (703) 903-3933
FREDDIE MAC PROVIDES MARKET UPDATE
Company Provides Updated Business Results and Outlook; Quarterly Financial Reporting to Resume in 2005
McLean, VA – Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today updated the market on business
results and volumes for the first nine months of 2004, management's current
business outlook and the timetable for resuming timely financial reporting.
"Our business fundamentals have been strong in 2004 and we continue to
make encouraging progress in strengthening Freddie Mac's core operations and
renewing our mission focus," said Richard F. Syron, Freddie Mac chairman
and chief executive officer. "I am particularly pleased with our progress
this year in recruiting a distinguished new senior management team, most notably
the addition of Gene McQuade as our president and COO. We have also made great
strides in re-focusing the company on its core housing mission, including affordable
housing; actively working to strengthen customer service and relationships by
increasing our flexibility, creativity and responsiveness; and launching an
aggressive cost-containment program to restrain administrative costs. Today's
business update reflects the new management team's commitment to not only complete
the work facing the company, but also to increase transparency and discuss the
underlying performance of the business as we do so."
"As we look to 2005, we are maintaining our financial discipline, driving
greater integration in our operations, taking steps to contain costs, and working
hard to increase housing affordability for all Americans," said Eugene
M. McQuade, Freddie Mac president and chief operating officer. "One of
our top priorities is returning Freddie Mac to timely financial reporting, and
today we are announcing our plans to accomplish that goal. We remain on track
to provide full-year 2004 financial results by the end of the first quarter
of 2005, and we will return to quarterly reporting for the second quarter of
2005. We'll continue to accelerate progress in 2005 and report our full-year
2005 results on a timely basis. At the same time, we are focusing intensely
on the performance of our business and on our relationships with customers and
business partners. Our goal is to become a more creative and nimble business
partner for mortgage lenders of all sizes to do business with."
"The timetable we're announcing today will allow us to make significant
progress on the major systems work and internal controls assessment and testing
that we need in order to get current in our financial reporting," said
Martin F. Baumann, executive vice president and chief financial officer. "These
are aggressive objectives and we can't guarantee that we are going to hit each
and every one of these target dates. However, our senior management team is
committed to getting this job done right and we believe we have the right people
and plans in place to make it happen."
The company will provide another update to the market following the end of
the fourth quarter of 2004, in which we will discuss our business operations
and volumes, update our business outlook and further update the market concerning
our progress toward returning to timely financial reporting.
SENIOR MANAGEMENT TEAM
During the third quarter of 2004, the company announced the appointment of
McQuade as president and chief operating officer, as well as that of Patricia
L. Cook as executive vice president, investments. McQuade, who had previously
served as president of Bank of America Corporation and president and chief operating
officer of FleetBoston Financial Corp., is expected to join Freddie Mac's board
of directors at the company's annual shareholders meeting later this week.
Cook, who has 25 years of experience in the fixed-income markets and served
most recently as managing director and chief investment officer of global fixed
income for JPMorgan Fleming Asset Management, has oversight responsibility of
Freddie Mac's retained portfolio and reports directly to Mr. Syron. These appointments
are the latest in a series of senior management additions during 2004.
BUSINESS RESULTS AND VOLUMES
The following is a discussion of preliminary and unaudited year-to-date volume
statistics for 2004, through September 30, which we regularly disclose in our
Monthly Volume Summary. Please see our Monthly Volume Summary for information
regarding these disclosures and qualifications that apply to our monthly figures.
Total Mortgage Portfolio
The total mortgage portfolio grew to $1.489 trillion at September 30, 2004,
from $1.414 trillion at December 31, 2003. This increase represents an annualized
growth rate of 7.1 percent. New business purchase volume (which excludes purchases
of PCs for the retained portfolio) was $383.8 billion year-to-date in 2004,
down from $668.5 billion for the first nine months of 2003. Total mortgage portfolio
liquidations were $308.7 billion year-to-date in 2004, down from $631.1 billion
for the first nine months of 2003.
Retained Portfolio
The retained portfolio grew to $660.7 billion at September 30, 2004, from $645.5
billion at December 31, 2003. This increase represents an annualized growth
rate of 3.1 percent. The primary drivers of net growth have been a reduction
in liquidation rates compared to 2003 and purchases of mortgage-related asset-backed
securities such as non-agency floating-rate securities backed by sub-prime or
home equity mortgage loans. Mortgage-related investment opportunities in fixed-rate
products have not been as attractive to us because strong demand from other
investors, coupled with lower mortgage loan originations, have generally resulted
in unattractive mortgage-to-debt option-adjusted spreads.
The retained portfolio and its related debt funding are the primary source
of our interest-rate risk. In 2004, our interest-rate risk has remained low.
We provide investors with monthly interest-rate risk sensitivity disclosures
in our Monthly Volume Summary using our primary interest-rate risk measures:
Portfolio Market Value Sensitivity ("PMVS") and duration gap. PMVS-L,
one of the two ways we measure PMVS, estimates the sensitivity of our fair value
of net assets attributable to common stockholders to immediate adverse shifts
in the level of interest rates. Duration gap estimates the net sensitivity of
the fair value of our financial instruments to movements in interest rates.
Year-to-date in 2004, PMVS-L and duration gap have averaged two percent and
zero months, respectively.
Total PCs Issued and Outstanding PCs
Total PCs issued increased to $1.202 trillion at September 30, 2004, from $1.162
trillion at December 31, 2003. This increase represents an annualized growth
rate of 4.6 percent as of September 30, 2004, lagging the estimated 13 percent
growth in U.S. residential mortgage debt outstanding for the year. Our lower
year-to-date growth in 2004 is due in part to rising fixed-rate mortgage rates
and a corresponding increase in the percentage of adjustable-rate mortgages
(ARMs) and other non-traditional mortgage products originated. As mortgage rates
rise, the market tends to produce a higher percentage of ARMs. Bank portfolios
typically retain a higher percentage of ARMs than fixed-rate mortgage loans.
As a result, we estimate that the percentage of mortgage loans sold to the GSEs
has declined in 2004 as mortgage rates have increased.
Outstanding PCs (equal to Total PCs issued less PCs held in the retained portfolio
or held as part of our PC market-making and support activities) grew to $808.2
billion at September 30, 2004, from $752.2 billion at December 31, 2003. This
represents an annualized growth rate of 9.9 percent.
BUSINESS OUTLOOK
Retained Portfolio
During the first quarter of 2004, our retained portfolio purchases were low
due to tight mortgage-to-debt option-adjusted spreads. Together with high liquidations,
these factors caused a net decrease in the retained portfolio. During the second
quarter of 2004, the combination of an increase in the percentage of non-agency
securitizations of ARMs, wider option-adjusted spreads on these products, and
slower liquidation rates on our existing portfolio resulted in higher retained
portfolio growth. Agency and AAA-rated non-agency ARM products continue to produce
attractive risk-adjusted returns and represent an increasing percentage of our
total purchases. We expect that the retained portfolio growth rate for the year
will be in the low- to middle-single digits. However, market conditions such
as demand from other investors, mortgage origination volumes and product mix,
and liquidation rates could cause the actual growth rate to vary substantially
from our current expectations.
Regulatory Capital
We believe the current level of our capital is adequate to meet all regulatory
capital requirements, as well as the target capital surplus established pursuant
to the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight's (OFHEO) letter dated January 28,
2004 equal to 30 percent of our regulatory minimum capital requirement.
Fair Value Balance Sheet Net Asset Growth
A significant portion of our consolidated fair value balance sheet net asset
growth for 2003 was due to the tightening of mortgage-to-debt option-adjusted
spreads as of December 31, 2003. As a result, the increase in consolidated fair
value balance sheet net assets for 2003 was above our long-term expectations.
The 2004 outlook for this metric is inherently uncertain because the final results
will depend heavily on market conditions as of December 31, 2004. Mortgage-to-debt
option-adjusted spreads widened during the first half of 2004 and have since
tightened. If current conditions remain in place, we expect consolidated fair
value balance sheet net asset growth in 2004 to be significantly below the 19
percent growth seen in 2003.
Total PCs Issued
In 2004, we expect the growth rate of our Total PCs issued to be between four
percent and seven percent, which is below the 13 percent anticipated growth
rate in U.S. residential mortgage debt outstanding for the year. In 2004, periods
of higher interest rates have resulted in an increase in the proportion of ARMs
and other non-traditional mortgage products originated. We believe lenders have
been retaining a larger percentage of these ARMs and other non-traditional mortgage
products in their portfolios and that non-GSE market participants have been
retaining or acquiring a larger percentage of loans for non-agency securitizations.
As a result, we believe that the primary market has reduced the overall percentage
of loans sold to the GSEs.
Guarantee Fees
Our core guarantee-fee business has remained relatively stable over the first
nine months of 2004. To date, the contractual guarantee fee rate has decreased
slightly as a result of our Market Adjusted Pricing feature and our product
mix.
Credit Losses
Although we expect single-family market conditions to remain favorable, we
also expect single-family credit losses to increase from their recent, very
low levels. Given our strong credit position, we expect single-family credit
losses to remain low as a percentage of the average total mortgage portfolio.
We now expect multifamily delinquencies and credit losses to remain low for
the remainder of 2004.
Administrative Expenses
We expect administrative expenses, which include salaries and employee benefits,
occupancy expense and certain other expenses such as professional services and
audit fees, to be higher than historical levels in 2004 and at least through
2005 due to the significant infrastructure and control remediation efforts that
are necessary to address the material weaknesses in controls surrounding our
financial reporting. We continue to expect that administrative expenses for
full-year 2004 will be approximately $1.5 billion, compared to $1.3 billion
for 2003. This includes approximately $35 million in exit costs we expect to
incur in connection with our previously announced decision to cease the market-making
activities of the Securities Sales & Trading Group. We expect such exit
costs to include $30 million in cash payments, $25 million of which are related
to employee severance and associated costs. We have recently launched cost-containment
initiatives intended to address the growth rate of our administrative expenses
and ensure that resources are focused on achieving our critical corporate objectives.
TIMETABLE FOR FINANCIAL REPORTING
As announced in our June 30, 2004 release of 2003 results, our current objective
is to provide quarterly and full-year financial results for 2004 by March 31,
2005. We have established current objectives for additional financial reporting
as follows:
- Release of first and second quarter 2005 results at the end of August 2005;
- Release of third quarter 2005 results in mid-November 2005; and
- Release of fourth quarter and full-year 2005 results, including the timely
filing of a GAAP-compliant minimum capital report with OFHEO, our safety and
soundness regulator, at the end of January 2006.
We also anticipate filing our Form 10 registration statement with the Securities
and Exchange Commission, for the purpose of registering our common stock under
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, in the second quarter of 2006, and becoming
a 1934 Act registrant as soon as possible after that filing.
2004 FINANCIAL REPORTING UPDATE
Significant systems revisions are still required as a result of our adoption
of revised accounting policies from the 2002 restatement and new accounting
rules promulgated for 2003 and subsequent periods. While we have made substantial
progress, we face continuing challenges because of the prior deficiencies in
our accounting infrastructure and the operational complexities caused by the
enormous volume of revised and new accounting policies that we have adopted.
Our prior year and current close processes are executed in two steps –
first, producing preliminary financial figures with our existing systems and
then "remeasuring" the figures using interim processes, with several
dependencies on manual off-line processes, to adjust to GAAP standards. As a
result, we must complete substantial back-end validation and analytical review
procedures of our financial results to mitigate our current inability to rely
extensively on more automated internal controls. Capital reports that we submit
to OFHEO for 2004 will be revised when we complete the second step in our closing
process and issue our quarterly and full year 2004 results by March 31, 2005.
More information on the company's systems remediation and internal controls
assessment work is provided in our Information Statement dated September 24,
2004, available on the Investor Relations page of Freddie Mac's Web site.
As part of our second-step review process, we have determined that substantially
all pay-fixed interest-rate swaps and other derivatives that previously had
been reported in cash-flow hedge accounting relationships no longer meet the
hedge accounting requirements under the accounting policies we apply in accordance
with SFAS 133. As a result, we expect to discontinue hedge accounting for these
relationships for financial reporting periods beginning in the second quarter
of 2004.
We also have made an additional, voluntary determination to discontinue hedge
accounting treatment for the majority of our receive-fixed interest rate swaps.
This election will be effective November 1, 2004. We believe that voluntary
discontinuance of hedge-accounting treatment for receive-fixed swaps, as permitted
by GAAP, will assist us in addressing period-to-period volatility in the total
portfolio of no hedge designation derivatives. In addition, we believe that
discontinuing hedge accounting treatment for these receive-fixed swaps will
help us to reduce the operational complexity and the related controls remediation
efforts that would otherwise be needed in order to ensure ongoing compliance
with the requirements for obtaining and maintaining hedge accounting treatment.
Finally, we believe that discontinuing these hedge accounting strategies at
this time will enable Freddie Mac to develop and implement more durable and
well-controlled hedge accounting strategies in future periods.
We have concluded that these determinations have no impact on our prior audited
financial results, our previously reported interest-rate risk disclosures or
our belief that we maintain adequate capital to meet all regulatory capital
requirements.
As a result of these two changes we expect the notional amounts of pay-fixed
and receive-fixed interest rate swaps not in current hedge accounting relationships
to increase significantly from those reported at year end 2003. We expect the
notional amount of pay-fixed swaps in no hedge designation to increase by a
net amount of approximately $110 billion during the second quarter of 2004 as
compared to the balance at year-end 2003, and the notional amount of receive-fixed
swaps to increase by a net amount of approximately $40 billion, as of November
1, 2004, as compared to the balance at year-end 2003. As we have previously
stated, the large notional amount of derivatives not designated in hedge accounting
relationships is likely to produce continued earnings volatility, as periodic
changes in the fair value of these derivatives are reflected through the "Derivative
gains (losses)" line item on our income statement.
SUPPLEMENTAL PERFORMANCE MEASURES
We will provide quarterly consolidated fair value balance sheets as part of
our 2004 financial results and thereafter along with our quarterly financial
reports. In addition, we are committed to providing a historic-cost based non-GAAP
supplemental performance measure that we will use to monitor performance internally
and that will assist investors in understanding our GAAP results. We are working
toward providing this supplemental measure with our full-year 2005 results,
subject to meeting our primary obligation of getting our financial reporting
current. We will also consider providing results for prior periods under this
measure in order to facilitate analysis and understanding of our results over
time.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Additional information about Freddie Mac and its business is also set forth
in our Information Statement dated September 24, 2004, and related Information
Statement Supplements, available on the Investor Relations page of our Web site,
www.FreddieMac.com/investors.
ANNOUNCEMENT OF CONFERENCE CALL AND WEBCAST
We will host a conference call discussing today's announcement at 4:30 p.m.
Eastern Time. Domestic investors should call 1-800-762-6067 and international
investors can access the call at 480-629-9025. The conference call will be webcast
live on our Web site. A telephone recording of this conference call will be
available continuously beginning at approximately 9 p.m. Eastern Time on November
1, 2004, until midnight on November 15, 2004. To access this recording in the
United States, call 1-800-475-6701 and use access code 751550. Outside of the
United States, call 320-365-3844 and use access code 751550.
The information in this press release and other information is included in
our Information Statement Supplement dated November 1, 2004, which is posted
on the Investor Relations page of our Web site.
Freddie Mac's press releases sometimes contain forward-looking statements.
A description of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
from the expectations expressed in these and other forward-looking statements
can be found in the company's Information Statement dated September 24, 2004,
which is available on the Investor Relations page of the company's Web site
at www.FreddieMac.com/investors.
Freddie Mac is a stockholder-owned company established by Congress in 1970
to support homeownership and rental housing. Freddie Mac fulfills its mission
by purchasing residential mortgages and mortgage-related securities, which it
finances primarily by issuing mortgage-related securities and debt instruments
in the capital markets. Over the years, Freddie Mac has made home possible for
one in six homebuyers in America.
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